The
consensus among economists and the wider public is clear: the remarkable ascent
of Docklands’ property prices over the previous twelve years has reached its peak
and is now starting to drift downwards.
Major
national publications splash headlines filled with pessimism about the UK
housing market, citing issues such as buyer affordability caused by challenges
with average salary growth not keeping up with inflation, higher interest rates
also hitting buyer affordability, and the hangover of the pandemic making
recruiting people hard work. However, these gloomy projections don't seem to
resonate with the fact that Docklands’ property market activity in the past
year closely mirrors that of 2017/18/19.
This divergence might hint
at the age-old notion:
'bad news sells newspapers'.
To
provide a clearer picture, let's delve deeper into Docklands’ property market
nuances, focusing on the demographics of movers and their motivations.
During the past year most of the property sales in Docklands were flats, selling for an average
price of £563,200. Terraced properties sold for an average of £728,240, with
semi-detached properties fetching £895,000.
A closer look at Docklands’ homeowner sector in the last 12 months of
housing data reveals the following...
·
1,012 Docklands households moved within the
same ownership sector, implying they sold their home to purchase another.
·
238 Docklands households ended and exited
home ownership (i.e., moved in with family, moved to a care home or sadly
passed away).
·
255 Docklands households shifted from owning
to private renting.
·
22 Docklands households moved from home
ownership to social housing (i.e., Council Housing or Housing Association).
·
538 Docklands households shifted from private
renting to homeownership.
· 547
new Docklands homeowner households emerged, transitioning from residing with
family or friends to buying their first property without experiencing the
private rental sector.
Despite the relentless doom and gloom
portrayed in the media about the property market, it's heartening to witness a
robust influx of Docklands first-time buyers securing their own homes.
Remarkably, 547 of these
newcomers have moved from family or friends into homeownership, showcasing the
enduring spirit of people wanting to buy their home. Additionally, 538 households have
transitioned from the private rented sector, demonstrating a genuine aspiration
among tenants to achieve homeownership.
This trend underscores the resilience and
adaptability of aspiring homeowners amidst challenging times.
But what does this data
spell out for Docklands’ buy-to-let landlords?
On the
surface, with 538 households moving from
private rentals to homeownership and 255 moving the other way, there seems to be a slight contraction
in the private sector.
Yet,
what I don’t mention is the number of new rental households. I do not have the Docklands
statistics for those yet, but we can look to the national statistics.
Whilst
the number of British landlords, according to capital gains tax receipts,
selling up has increased by around 45% in the last year compared to
pre-pandemic levels, the number of landlords buying buy-to-let is only 19%
down.
There
are new rental properties being created, whilst at lower than previous years,
it is still growing nationally by 177,000 households a year.
So where are the
opportunities for Docklands landlords?
A golden
opportunity for Docklands’ property investors lies in the 238 properties that went up for sale last year due
to owners passing.
Often,
these homes, maintained over several decades by older owners, feature
high-capital improvements like double-glazing or central heating. However, they
might lack contemporary aesthetics, having outdated decor or out-of-style
fixtures from the 1980s.
Such
properties often come at lower prices because many buyers overlook their
potential due to dated appearances. A smart investment in renovations could
lead to handsome profits on resale.
It's
imperative to put things in perspective. Regardless of global events - whether
it's post Brexit, post Pandemic, potential political shifts in the US or China,
interest rates or stock market dynamics - Docklands’ property market remains
robust in the mid to long-term framework.
Even as
we witness minor value corrections in the upcoming 12 to 18 months, history has
shown that property prices bounce back, often with greater momentum.
This
underscores the timeless advice to those venturing into the property market, be
it first-time buyers, landlords, or homeowners: property is a marathon, not a
sprint.
Commitment
to the long haul invariably yields rewards, a philosophy that can be applied
universally don’t you think?
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